Archive for Walter Mondale

America Needs To Keep The White House Under Democratic Control. The Economy Is Bouncing Back Strong Once Again And Republicans Are Hoping To Win In Order To Wreck America Again. Please Look At The Three Images In This Blog As It Relates To Bernie Sanders And What The Hispanic Vote Says About Mr. Sander’s Chances.

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 10, 2015 by sheriffali

Even as Bernie Sanders moves up in the polls, many people are realizing that there’s a big hole in his coalition: black voters.

 

Barack Obama won a razor-thin victory over Hillary Rodham Clinton in the Democratic primaries seven years ago in large part because black voters supported Mr. Obama by a 5-to-1 margin. Without their support, he would have lost, and lost big — probably by more than 20 points in the national popular vote.

 

As a result, many have framed Mr. Sanders’s challenge in racial terms. But his challenge in getting the support of nonwhite voters is not simply a problem of race. It’s primarily a problem with moderate and less educated Democrats, regardless of race, which disproportionately affects his support among nonwhite voters. His challenge among black voters may be no greater than his challenge among ideologically and demographically similar white voters.

 

It’s not very fair to Mr. Sanders, or any liberal Democrat, to judge his support among black voters by comparing him with Mr. Obama. In 2008, there was a strong relationship between the proportion of a demographic group that self-identified as liberal and Mr. Obama’s strength against Mrs. Clinton. Mr. Obama lost all of the least liberal groups of the Democratic Party, except black voters.

 

Without Mr. Obama’s unusual strength among black voters, another challenge to Mrs. Clinton on her left would struggle to keep Mrs. Clinton from doing well enough on moderates to deny her the nomination. The easiest way to think about Mr. Sanders’s challenge is to remember Mr. Obama’s weakness among Hispanic voters in 2008. Over all, Mr. Obama lost Hispanic voters by 26 points against Mrs. Clinton — worse than his margin among white voters.

 

Mr. Obama’s weakness among Hispanic voters didn’t fit neatly into the conventional explanation of Mr. Obama’s challenges in 2008. Commentators often presumed that Mr. Obama was weak among less liberal and less educated white voters because of racism, so they undertook tortured efforts to fit Hispanic voters into the same frame, arguing that Hispanic voters wouldn’t vote for a black candidate, perhaps because of urban rivalries between blacks and Hispanics.

 

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BERNIE SANDERS - HILLARY CLINTON 1972 1984 BERNIE SANDERS - 1984 ELECTION BERNIE SANDERS - 1972 ELECTION 2

Why Bernie Sanders’s Momentum Is Not Built to Last! Future POTUS – Hillary Clinton!

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 9, 2015 by sheriffali

Advocating an extreme Left-Wing Agenda To Extreme Left Wingers and drawing crowds doesn’t win General Elections. Bernie Sanders is a good man but he cannot win against the Koch Brothers Republican Machine. There is only ONE DEMOCRAT that can keep the White House after President Obama and that is Hillary Clinton. Before the Naysayers attack me, read the entire article, gain some perspective and hopefully, you would see the rational.

For those that do research look at George McGovern in 1972 and Walter Mondale in 1984.

 

Love her or hate her, Hillary Clinton is going to be America’s Next and First Woman President!

[NYT] Bernie Sanders is surging. He trailed Hillary Rodham Clinton by as much as 50 points in the polls a few months ago, but he has pulled within 10 points in New Hampshire, according to some surveys. He has doubled his support in Iowa over the last month. The signs of his support are palpable: Last week, about 10,000 people attended an event in Madison, Wis., and he announced that he raised $15 million in the first three months of his campaign.

 

But the Sanders surge is about to hit a wall: the rank and file of the Democratic primary electorate.

 

Senator Sanders is now doing nearly as well as Barack Obama did among liberal voters in 2008. That makes him competitive in relatively liberal contests, like the Iowa caucuses or the New Hampshire primary.

 

But Mrs. Clinton still holds a huge lead among moderate and conservative Democrats — white and nonwhite alike. Whether Mr. Sanders can close the gap among these voters will determine the seriousness of his candidacy and whether he can pick up more delegates in other primaries. There aren’t many reasons to expect he will break through, and he certainly isn’t doing it yet.

 

If he doesn’t, he will lose by a wide margin.

 

Mr. Sanders surged as he consolidated the liberal voters who represent the natural opposition to Mrs. Clinton. A socialist senator from Vermont, he was always well positioned to be the vehicle of their skepticism of Mrs. Clinton’s policies on Wall Street and foreign intervention.

 

 

But he is unlikely to beat her by a wide margin among liberal voters. Even in 2008, Mr. Obama defeated Mrs. Clinton among liberal voters by just one percentage point nationwide. He lost liberals by one point in New Hampshire, and won them by 13 points in Iowa.

 

Mr. Sanders is nearing those tallies. On average, polls in Iowa and New Hampshire over the last month show Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Sanders tied among self-identified liberals. Last week, a Quinnipiac poll in Iowa showed him leading Mrs. Clinton among “very liberal” voters, 47 to 43 percent.

 

Mr. Sanders could hope to do even better than Mr. Obama among liberals, but realistically there are limits. Mrs. Clinton is a liberal Democrat by any measure. Her favorability ratings among “very liberal” voters remain very good; the Quinnipiac poll, for instance, put them at 88 percent favorable and 8 percent unfavorable. Her advantage among women also helps. And this is leaving aside any of the other plausible reasons — electability, experience — for preferring Mrs. Clinton.

 

 

 

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